Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.116758 0.130287 0.144143 0.159354 0.175544 0.192224 0.210671
2024-10-27 0.098087 0.116432 0.135917 0.158025 0.182284 0.207974 0.237119
2024-11-03 0.085873 0.107674 0.131574 0.159447 0.190796 0.224721 0.263965
2024-11-10 0.077581 0.102248 0.130065 0.163288 0.201438 0.243460 0.292837
2024-11-17 0.068425 0.094890 0.125592 0.163120 0.207070 0.256286 0.314948
2024-11-24 0.062708 0.091038 0.124737 0.166759 0.216794 0.273590 0.342075
2024-12-01 0.056560 0.086081 0.122099 0.167906 0.223328 0.287056 0.364740
2024-12-08 0.050508 0.080704 0.118509 0.167533 0.227774 0.297901 0.384263
2024-12-15 0.045778 0.076636 0.116216 0.168468 0.233578 0.310205 0.405420
2024-12-22 0.040858 0.071885 0.112707 0.167592 0.236949 0.319462 0.422892
2024-12-29 0.038112 0.069907 0.112626 0.170917 0.245401 0.334766 0.447550
2025-01-05 0.034668 0.066638 0.110599 0.171550 0.250361 0.345765 0.467027
2025-01-12 0.031100 0.062990 0.107971 0.171412 0.254476 0.355966 0.485913
2025-01-19 0.027478 0.058927 0.104511 0.169965 0.256771 0.363839 0.501938
2025-01-26 0.025088 0.056575 0.103302 0.171417 0.262720 0.376208 0.523468
2025-02-02 0.023633 0.055608 0.103999 0.175412 0.271961 0.392712 0.550138
2025-02-09 0.021190 0.052754 0.101757 0.175219 0.275618 0.402151 0.568086
2025-02-16 0.019967 0.051891 0.102407 0.179016 0.284535 0.418258 0.594355
2025-02-23 0.018227 0.049933 0.101276 0.180207 0.289926 0.429864 0.615036
2025-03-02 0.016290 0.047406 0.099115 0.179812 0.293103 0.438593 0.632105
2025-03-09 0.014813 0.045594 0.097963 0.180787 0.298080 0.449611 0.652057
2025-03-16 0.013102 0.043114 0.095595 0.179868 0.300390 0.457135 0.667580
2025-03-23 0.012341 0.042502 0.096220 0.183343 0.308733 0.472509 0.693087